Symbols / KR-DAIUSDT-MARGIN
Kraken DAI/USDT
KR-DAIUSDT-MARGIN · Bollinger reversion, long & short (5m, margin)
One margin order on the closer side: buy DAI at the lower Bollinger band or short it at the upper band (7-day average, 2.5 standard deviations, 5-minute candles); exit at the opposite band, falling back to entry + fees + 1 tick after 2 days. Short positions pay Kraken margin open and rollover fees (included). Orders only move when the new price is 2 ticks away.
- Exchange
- Kraken
- Pair
- DAI/USDT
- Market type
- Margin
- Book mode
- Long & short (margin)
- Holdings required
- $100 USDT margin collateral
- Strategy
- Bollinger reversion, long & short (5m, margin)
- Timeframe
- 5m
- Update schedule
- every candle (orders move only when 2+ ticks away)
- Capital
- $100
- Maker / taker fee
- 0.2% / 0.2%
- Liquidity
- thin
- Backtest window
- 2026-04-04 → 2026-11-08 (218 days)
Leverage
1x1x2x3x4x
- Net PnL
- +23.70%
- Per year
- +39.64%
- Last 90 days
- +19.47%
- Max drawdown
- -6.40%
- Trades
- 63
- Win rate
- 87.3%
- Strict-rule PnL
- +11.56%
- TradingView match
- 35 of 61 trades identical
Results use fair fills and real exchange fees and are verified trade by trade against TradingView. All orders are limit orders.
Monthly returns
2026-042026-11
History
- +10.9% came in September 2026 alone.
- Last 90 days: +19.5% (a 79.0% yearly pace).
- 63 trades, 87.3% winners; the longest trade lasted 3.1 days.
Risks
- Margin account: shorts borrow DAI and pay rollover fees.
- Kraken fees are 0.20% per side.
- Thin market (DAI/USDT trades in under 1% of minutes); large orders may not fill.
- Only about 7 months of usable history (the 7-day average needs a long warm-up).
Trades (63)
| # | Source | Book | Entry | Entry price | Exit | Exit price | Reason | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Backtest | long | 2026-11-06 09:35 | 0.98924 | 2026-11-08 17:55 | 1.0009 | tp | +0.776% |
| 62 | Backtest | long | 2026-11-05 09:45 | 0.9917 | 2026-11-05 15:35 | 1.0093 | tp | +1.371% |
| 61 | Backtest | short | 2026-10-29 21:10 | 1.00915 | 2026-11-01 04:10 | 1.00113 | tp | +0.101% |
| 60 | Backtest | short | 2026-10-24 08:35 | 1.00909 | 2026-10-25 11:30 | 0.99179 | tp | +1.163% |
| 59 | Backtest | long | 2026-10-21 11:10 | 0.99182 | 2026-10-21 20:10 | 1.00906 | tp | +1.335% |
| 58 | Backtest | short | 2026-10-15 07:10 | 1.00892 | 2026-10-17 11:50 | 1.00142 | tp | +0.062% |
| 57 | Backtest | long | 2026-10-08 15:20 | 0.99205 | 2026-10-11 11:55 | 1.00329 | tp | +0.731% |
| 56 | Backtest | long | 2026-10-07 15:10 | 0.99218 | 2026-10-07 20:50 | 1.00883 | tp | +1.275% |
| 55 | Backtest | short | 2026-10-03 20:35 | 1.00866 | 2026-10-06 07:10 | 1.00461 | tp | -0.311% |
| 54 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-30 13:50 | 0.99001 | 2026-10-02 01:05 | 1.00864 | tp | +1.478% |
| 53 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-26 22:00 | 0.99259 | 2026-09-27 17:15 | 1.00842 | tp | +1.192% |
| 52 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-24 08:55 | 0.99299 | 2026-09-26 19:10 | 1.00006 | tp | +0.311% |
| 51 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-21 06:10 | 0.99317 | 2026-09-23 12:25 | 0.99716 | tp | +0.001% |
| 50 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-20 11:15 | 0.99331 | 2026-09-20 17:40 | 1.00785 | tp | +1.061% |
| 49 | Backtest | short | 2026-09-18 01:00 | 1.00764 | 2026-09-19 14:20 | 0.99346 | tp | +0.803% |
| 48 | Backtest | short | 2026-09-15 15:25 | 1.00758 | 2026-09-17 08:10 | 0.99357 | tp | +0.769% |
| 47 | Backtest | short | 2026-09-13 11:10 | 1.02764 | 2026-09-15 13:35 | 1.00042 | tp | +1.982% |
| 46 | Backtest | short | 2026-09-08 20:55 | 1.00709 | 2026-09-10 23:55 | 1.00015 | tp | +0.015% |
| 45 | Backtest | short | 2026-09-03 12:20 | 1.03159 | 2026-09-06 08:45 | 1.00002 | tp | +2.304% |
| 44 | Backtest | long | 2026-09-01 09:05 | 0.995 | 2026-09-03 12:15 | 0.99899 | tp | +0.000% |
| 43 | Backtest | short | 2026-08-30 17:45 | 1.02727 | 2026-09-01 09:00 | 0.9954 | tp | +2.492% |
| 42 | Backtest | short | 2026-08-22 21:40 | 1.00493 | 2026-08-23 11:10 | 0.9962 | tp | +0.383% |
| 41 | Backtest | long | 2026-08-22 11:20 | 0.99632 | 2026-08-22 21:10 | 1.00485 | tp | +0.454% |
| 40 | Backtest | long | 2026-08-19 15:20 | 0.99641 | 2026-08-21 20:10 | 1.00041 | tp | +0.001% |
| 39 | Backtest | short | 2026-08-14 18:35 | 1.00392 | 2026-08-16 23:45 | 0.99989 | tp | -0.284% |
| 38 | Backtest | long | 2026-08-11 16:40 | 0.99717 | 2026-08-14 18:30 | 1.00117 | tp | +0.000% |
| 37 | Backtest | short | 2026-07-26 15:05 | 1.00409 | 2026-07-27 12:45 | 0.99691 | tp | +0.188% |
| 36 | Backtest | short | 2026-07-25 23:45 | 1.00405 | 2026-07-26 14:35 | 0.99692 | tp | +0.217% |
| 35 | Backtest | long | 2026-07-23 11:35 | 0.99692 | 2026-07-23 17:15 | 1.00403 | tp | +0.312% |
| 34 | Backtest | long | 2026-07-15 22:00 | 0.99687 | 2026-07-18 19:15 | 1.00087 | tp | +0.000% |
| 33 | Backtest | short | 2026-07-11 06:50 | 1.00424 | 2026-07-13 08:30 | 0.9967 | tp | +0.084% |
| 32 | Backtest | short | 2026-07-08 02:30 | 1.00428 | 2026-07-10 09:55 | 1.0001 | tp | -0.280% |
| 31 | Backtest | short | 2026-06-26 15:10 | 1.00446 | 2026-06-27 12:45 | 0.99627 | tp | +0.289% |
| 30 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-24 11:35 | 0.99066 | 2026-06-24 20:05 | 1.0044 | tp | +0.984% |
| 29 | Backtest | short | 2026-06-21 07:40 | 1.00428 | 2026-06-22 01:40 | 0.99637 | tp | +0.279% |
| 28 | Backtest | short | 2026-06-18 20:25 | 1.00425 | 2026-06-20 23:35 | 1.00022 | tp | -0.274% |
| 27 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-17 07:15 | 0.9964 | 2026-06-18 20:00 | 1.00426 | tp | +0.387% |
| 26 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-14 16:45 | 0.99653 | 2026-06-16 18:00 | 1.00053 | tp | +0.001% |
| 25 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-06 18:05 | 0.99655 | 2026-06-09 16:10 | 1.00055 | tp | +0.001% |
| 24 | Backtest | short | 2026-06-05 01:50 | 1.00417 | 2026-06-06 16:45 | 0.99656 | tp | +0.145% |
| 23 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-02 03:00 | 0.99666 | 2026-06-04 11:40 | 1.00066 | tp | +0.001% |
| 22 | Backtest | long | 2026-06-01 12:15 | 0.99681 | 2026-06-02 00:20 | 1.00407 | tp | +0.327% |
| 21 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-30 19:40 | 1.00398 | 2026-06-01 09:05 | 0.99683 | tp | +0.107% |
| 20 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-24 01:45 | 1.00402 | 2026-05-26 11:40 | 0.99999 | tp | -0.307% |
| 19 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-20 18:15 | 1.00406 | 2026-05-23 08:00 | 1.00003 | tp | -0.327% |
| 18 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-17 14:45 | 1.00398 | 2026-05-19 16:55 | 0.99995 | tp | -0.269% |
| 17 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-14 13:10 | 1.00399 | 2026-05-15 14:50 | 0.99685 | tp | +0.164% |
| 16 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-05 19:05 | 1.00398 | 2026-05-07 19:20 | 0.99923 | tp | -0.187% |
| 15 | Backtest | long | 2026-05-04 07:15 | 0.99705 | 2026-05-04 16:45 | 1.00398 | tp | +0.294% |
| 14 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-03 15:10 | 1.00395 | 2026-05-04 06:00 | 0.99707 | tp | +0.193% |
| 13 | Backtest | long | 2026-05-03 01:15 | 0.99709 | 2026-05-03 14:50 | 1.00393 | tp | +0.285% |
| 12 | Backtest | short | 2026-05-01 06:55 | 1.00391 | 2026-05-01 22:10 | 0.99709 | tp | +0.184% |
| 11 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-30 21:10 | 0.9971 | 2026-05-01 06:25 | 1.0039 | tp | +0.281% |
| 10 | Backtest | short | 2026-04-29 22:40 | 1.00389 | 2026-04-30 18:50 | 0.99711 | tp | +0.156% |
| 9 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-26 15:10 | 0.99702 | 2026-04-28 15:25 | 1.00102 | tp | +0.000% |
| 8 | Backtest | short | 2026-04-26 09:10 | 1.00392 | 2026-04-26 11:10 | 0.99705 | tp | +0.256% |
| 7 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-23 10:30 | 0.99718 | 2026-04-25 18:30 | 1.00118 | tp | +0.000% |
| 6 | Backtest | short | 2026-04-21 18:25 | 1.00366 | 2026-04-22 13:15 | 0.99718 | tp | +0.133% |
| 5 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-21 18:15 | 0.99733 | 2026-04-21 18:20 | 1.00366 | tp | +0.233% |
| 4 | Backtest | short | 2026-04-21 16:45 | 1.00349 | 2026-04-21 17:55 | 0.99739 | tp | +0.183% |
| 3 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-21 15:55 | 0.99751 | 2026-04-21 16:00 | 1.00347 | tp | +0.196% |
| 2 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-13 17:40 | 0.99633 | 2026-04-15 19:30 | 1.00033 | tp | +0.001% |
| 1 | Backtest | long | 2026-04-10 12:30 | 0.99777 | 2026-04-13 08:20 | 1.00178 | tp | +0.001% |
Backtested results, not a guarantee. Stablecoins can lose their peg. Thin markets may not fill large orders.